Gabbard Cabinet Exit Odds Rise
Intelligence chief's chances of leaving Trump's team jump 38 cents amid Iran policy tensions.
Traders are pricing 64¢ odds on no new person becoming Trump's Press Secretary, up from 26¢ — but this reflects expectation that current Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard may soon vacate her position. Trump has urged the U.S. Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, to resign before the midterm elections later this year. The friction stems from Gabbard's deputy, Joe Kent, resigned in March, citing disagreement over U.S. involvement in the Iran war, and her unwillingness to condemn Kent angered Trump, causing him to reflect on her own loyalty. With ongoing cabinet reshuffling already claiming multiple officials, markets are pricing significant odds of further departures.
Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.