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Market data as of

Hungary election sees TISZA party surge

Opposition party's seat projections jump 47 cents as traders price major gains.

Hungarian opposition is gaining serious momentum according to prediction markets, with the TISZA party's chances of winning above 130 parliamentary seats surging from 34¢ to 81¢ ahead of the April 12 election. This 47-cent jump signals traders believe Viktor Orbán's Fidesz party faces its strongest electoral challenge in years. The TISZA party, led by Péter Magyar, has emerged as the primary opposition force after Magyar's high-profile split from Fidesz and his public criticism of corruption within the ruling party. Markets are pricing in the possibility of a significant shift in Hungarian politics, where Fidesz has dominated since 2010 but now faces organized opposition with real electoral potential.

Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.