LA Mayor's Race Tightens Against Bass
Nithya Raman's surprise challenge falls to 11¢ as incumbent Karen Bass faces unexpected resistance in June primary.
Councilmember Nithya Raman shocked LA politics by entering the mayoral race just hours before the filing deadline, despite having endorsed Bass for re-election weeks earlier. Her market price dropped 15 cents to 11¢, suggesting trader skepticism about her late entry, but recent polling shows the race tightening with Bass at 25%, Raman at 17%, and reality star Spencer Pratt at 14%. The market movement reflects the challenge facing any candidate entering against an incumbent so late in the cycle. With 40% of voters undecided and 13 challengers splitting the field, Bass faces the real possibility of being forced into a November runoff if she falls below 50% on June 2. Political handicappers appear cautious about Raman's chances despite her progressive credentials and DSA backing in a heavily Democratic city.
Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.