Kari Lake's nomination as Ambassador to Jamaica requires Senate confirmation, but prediction markets show key Republican senators growing skeptical. Rand Paul's support fell dramatically from 35¢ to 5¢ (+30¢), while Mitch McConnell dropped 12 cents to 61¢ and Lisa Murkowski declined to 32¢. Even her own state's new senator, Ruben Gallego, trades at just 2¢ — remarkable resistance from someone who defeated Lake in November. Lake's refusal to concede either her 2022 gubernatorial or 2024 Senate losses, including under oath in September depositions, appears to be weighing on senators who typically defer to presidential nominees. The market implies a surprisingly difficult confirmation fight for what should be a routine ambassadorial appointment.