Rubio-Vance 2028 Ticket Odds Crater
The Republican 'dream team' ticket plunged 52¢ as political reality sets in on succession dynamics.
The Marco Rubio-JD Vance Republican ticket for 2028 collapsed to just 12¢, down from 64¢, as traders reassess the political dynamics of Trump succession. Vice President JD Vance on Wednesday dismissed talk of a potential 2028 election ticket with Secretary of State Marco Rubio, saying it is among 'the few topics' he has little interest in discussing, despite President Donald Trump publicly floating the pairing as a 'dream team'.
Prediction markets show Vance had a 35 percent chance of winning the nomination, compared to Rubio's 30 percent on Kalshi, but a joint ticket now seems increasingly unlikely. Rubio has said he would support Vance if he runs for president, calling him the likely nominee, suggesting deference rather than partnership. The market's brutal reassessment reflects the reality that vice presidents rarely share tickets when seeking to succeed their bosses.
Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.