SNL Succession Shakeup Rocks Prediction Markets
Kenan Thompson jumps to 93¢ favorite as Lorne Michaels showrunner replacement, Seth Meyers surges.
The market for Lorne Michaels' SNL successor experienced unprecedented volatility, with Kenan Thompson, who has devoted 22 years to Saturday Night Live and is described as "the ultimate student of the craft," surging from 16¢ to 93¢. Seth Meyers simultaneously jumped from 15¢ to 50¢, despite previously stating "definitely not going to do it" in a 2024 interview.
Former SNL cast member Molly Shannon recently endorsed the idea of Thompson taking over, saying "I love this idea. He's the greatest — I adore Kenan. [Kenan is] so talented. That's an excellent idea." The dramatic price movement suggests new intelligence about NBC's internal succession planning, with traders pricing Thompson as the overwhelming favorite despite no official announcement from the network.
Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.