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SpaceX IPO Fever Hits Prediction Markets

Traders pile into SpaceX IPO timing bets as Musk confirms 2026 public offering plans for space giant.

The SpaceX IPO timeline is attracting massive betting volume as traders position for what could be the largest public offering in history. The May 2026 announcement window jumped 17 cents to 32¢, while August timing hit 72¢—up 12 cents on heavy volume of 539 contracts. The surge follows Elon Musk confirming that reports of SpaceX going public in 2026 were "accurate," with the company targeting a July IPO.

The timing bets reflect enormous stakes: SpaceX is reportedly targeting a $1.5 trillion valuation at IPO, which would surpass Saudi Aramco's 2019 record. Recent corporate maneuvering adds complexity, as Musk has merged his AI company xAI and social media platform X into SpaceX, meaning investors "must buy all three" when the company goes public. The market appears to favor a summer timeline, with the IPO potentially raising $30 billion and representing "the largest IPO in U.S. history".

Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.