← Back to all stories
Market data as of

Steyer Surges in California Governor Primary

Billionaire's odds jump 12¢ to 25¢ amid massive volume, while front-runner Swalwell slips as five-way race tightens.

Tom Steyer's California gubernatorial campaign is gaining serious momentum, with his odds surging from 13¢ to 25¢ in the primary race while generating 24,329 contracts in volume. Simultaneously, perceived front-runner Eric Swalwell dropped 13¢ to 44¢ amid 29,377 contracts traded, suggesting major money is shifting between the top Democratic candidates.

Recent polling shows five candidates in a virtual tie heading into June's primary, with Steyer at 10% alongside Steve Hilton (14%), Katie Porter (13%), Chad Bianco (12%), and Swalwell (11%). Steyer has spent more than $66 million of his personal fortune on the campaign, focusing on breaking up utility monopolies and building affordable housing. The massive volume spike suggests institutional money is taking Steyer's self-funding advantage seriously in what remains an exceptionally fluid race.

Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.

Steyer Surges in California Governor Primary | Future Signal