← Back to all stories
Market data as of

UK's Restore Britain Gains Prediction Market Traction

Far-right party doubles to 25¢ as markets price in electoral challenge from Rupert Lowe's Reform splinter group.

Restore Britain, the far-right party founded by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe, has doubled its next UK election odds from 12¢ to 25¢, signaling trader confidence in the party's disruptive potential. Recent polling shows Restore at 9% nationally with Reform at 21%, while YouGov maintains Restore at 4% with Reform at 24%.

Restore Britain is a right-wing to far-right political party led by Rupert Lowe, officially launched as a political party on 13 February 2026, and has been labeled as more right-wing than Reform UK. The party's electoral credibility was boosted when their local affiliate Great Yarmouth First won all ten contested seats in recent local elections, demonstrating organized ground-game capabilities that could fragment the right-wing vote in a general election.

Market data sourced from Kalshi. Odds reflect prices at time of analysis and may have changed.

UK's Restore Britain Gains Prediction Market Traction | Future Signal